| Estimate | Std. Error | 95% CI lower | 95% CI upper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| stock 1 mean log(B-H a) intercept | \(8.055\) | \(2.839\) | \(2.490\) | \(13.620\) |
| stock 1 B-H b | \(1.015\times 10^{-4}\) | \(6.125\times 10^{-5}\) | \(3.110\times 10^{-5}\) | \(3.312\times 10^{-4}\) |
| stock 1 NAA \(\sigma\) (age 1) | \(0.655\) | \(0.106\) | \(0.477\) | \(0.899\) |
| stock 1 NAA \(\sigma\) (ages 2-6+) | \(0.721\) | \(0.043\) | \(0.640\) | \(0.811\) |
| Index 1 fully selected q | \(2.110\times 10^{-4}\) | \(2.472\times 10^{-5}\) | \(1.677\times 10^{-4}\) | \(2.654\times 10^{-4}\) |
| Index 2 fully selected q | \(2.248\times 10^{-4}\) | \(3.120\times 10^{-5}\) | \(1.712\times 10^{-4}\) | \(2.950\times 10^{-4}\) |
| Index 3 fully selected q | \(2.683\times 10^{-4}\) | \(3.220\times 10^{-5}\) | \(2.120\times 10^{-4}\) | \(3.394\times 10^{-4}\) |
| Fleet 1 Mean Selectivity for age 1 (Block 1) | \(0.017\) | \(0.006\) | \(0.009\) | \(0.032\) |
| Fleet 1 Mean Selectivity for age 2 (Block 1) | \(0.249\) | \(0.065\) | \(0.145\) | \(0.395\) |
| Fleet 1 Mean Selectivity for age 3 (Block 1) | \(0.751\) | \(0.078\) | \(0.572\) | \(0.872\) |
| Fleet 1 Mean Selectivity for age 4 (Block 1) | \(1.000\) | – | – | – |
| Fleet 1 Mean Selectivity for age 5 (Block 1) | \(1.000\) | – | – | – |
| Fleet 1 Mean Selectivity for age 6+ (Block 1) | \(1.000\) | – | – | – |
| Index 1 \(a_{50}\) (Block 2) | \(2.306\) | \(0.107\) | \(2.099\) | \(2.519\) |
| Index 1 1/slope (increasing) (Block 2) | \(0.327\) | \(0.031\) | \(0.272\) | \(0.393\) |
| Index 2 \(a_{50}\) (Block 3) | \(1.611\) | \(0.183\) | \(1.278\) | \(1.994\) |
| Index 2 1/slope (increasing) (Block 3) | \(0.483\) | \(0.102\) | \(0.316\) | \(0.725\) |
| Index 3 \(a_{50}\) (Block 4) | \(2.135\) | \(0.084\) | \(1.973\) | \(2.302\) |
| Index 3 1/slope (increasing) (Block 4) | \(0.217\) | \(0.018\) | \(0.184\) | \(0.254\) |
| Fleet 1 Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) (Block 1) | \(1.050\) | \(0.168\) | \(0.768\) | \(1.435\) |
| Fleet 1 Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) (Block 1) | \(0.484\) | \(0.167\) | \(0.101\) | \(0.742\) |
| Fleet 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | \(3.449\) | \(0.359\) | \(2.813\) | \(4.229\) |
| Index 1 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | \(4.657\) | \(0.280\) | \(4.139\) | \(5.240\) |
| Index 2 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | \(5.276\) | \(0.328\) | \(4.671\) | \(5.959\) |
| Index 3 age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | \(5.479\) | \(0.356\) | \(4.824\) | \(6.222\) |
| Ecov bt temp: \(\mu\) | \(7.383\) | \(0.239\) | \(6.914\) | \(7.852\) |
| Ecov bt temp: \(\sigma\) | \(0.282\) | \(0.101\) | \(0.139\) | \(0.571\) |
| Ecov bt temp: AR1 \(\rho\) | \(0.837\) | \(0.119\) | \(0.407\) | \(0.963\) |
| stock 1 Recruitment Ecov: bt temp \(\beta_1\) | \(-0.868\) | \(0.371\) | \(-1.594\) | \(-0.141\) |
| Ecov: bt temp obs. sd. | \(0.478\) | \(0.079\) | \(0.346\) | \(0.661\) |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1973 | 90058 | 50616 | 32773 | 15758 | 5422 | 2888 |
| 1974 | 111271 | 40962 | 17601 | 12363 | 4649 | 2667 |
| 1975 | 100519 | 58229 | 12623 | 5328 | 3425 | 1435 |
| 1976 | 29719 | 52554 | 14835 | 2728 | 1168 | 1421 |
| 1977 | 19919 | 27664 | 16718 | 3706 | 677 | 644 |
| 1978 | 149471 | 12883 | 8802 | 3507 | 886 | 267 |
| 1979 | 29657 | 38956 | 6052 | 2403 | 921 | 649 |
| 1980 | 30243 | 37687 | 39819 | 3349 | 752 | 371 |
| 1981 | 33003 | 17120 | 15657 | 8847 | 1477 | 419 |
| 1982 | 43647 | 46622 | 15256 | 6489 | 1747 | 246 |
| 1983 | 16000 | 24486 | 24733 | 5374 | 1349 | 510 |
| 1984 | 18743 | 5180 | 7226 | 6407 | 2027 | 713 |
| 1985 | 28001 | 13291 | 2196 | 1487 | 849 | 158 |
| 1986 | 9279 | 18409 | 3700 | 748 | 482 | 277 |
| 1987 | 7686 | 5948 | 4332 | 1404 | 391 | 260 |
| 1988 | 7817 | 6025 | 3253 | 1144 | 357 | 79 |
| 1989 | 10800 | 8409 | 2834 | 879 | 232 | 80 |
| 1990 | 8392 | 6624 | 10577 | 2116 | 378 | 72 |
| 1991 | 52396 | 3137 | 3742 | 4728 | 667 | 106 |
| 1992 | 13729 | 21148 | 6871 | 2143 | 922 | 85 |
| 1993 | 35039 | 7429 | 8486 | 4270 | 490 | 166 |
| 1994 | 10478 | 9450 | 9061 | 4339 | 1098 | 407 |
| 1995 | 12830 | 7761 | 6963 | 2961 | 617 | 110 |
| 1996 | 27899 | 14766 | 17322 | 6282 | 1402 | 202 |
| 1997 | 22861 | 22054 | 23921 | 19634 | 3007 | 781 |
| 1998 | 62229 | 24962 | 13443 | 8987 | 5659 | 646 |
| 1999 | 54697 | 59816 | 48166 | 10715 | 6809 | 2737 |
| 2000 | 34513 | 51732 | 47121 | 23601 | 6297 | 4020 |
| 2001 | 43481 | 50317 | 48403 | 21395 | 7427 | 3372 |
| 2002 | 60388 | 58353 | 44415 | 18822 | 7565 | 3416 |
| 2003 | 54597 | 44702 | 29682 | 12445 | 4125 | 3707 |
| 2004 | 36914 | 34381 | 16771 | 8038 | 3610 | 2427 |
| 2005 | 51558 | 28837 | 26977 | 7766 | 1798 | 785 |
| 2006 | 136289 | 50934 | 18207 | 5927 | 1633 | 611 |
| 2007 | 66799 | 89745 | 35278 | 9060 | 1656 | 536 |
| 2008 | 27952 | 65444 | 42921 | 12649 | 2691 | 204 |
| 2009 | 42082 | 26537 | 47120 | 22723 | 7325 | 1534 |
| 2010 | 23917 | 20022 | 24249 | 21038 | 6157 | 2782 |
| 2011 | 22574 | 16525 | 18290 | 12692 | 4157 | 749 |
| 2012 | 21406 | 11655 | 13471 | 12171 | 4315 | 663 |
| 2013 | 24526 | 5578 | 4184 | 4074 | 2381 | 655 |
| 2014 | 11661 | 7065 | 3447 | 2404 | 1291 | 505 |
| 2015 | 5062 | 4330 | 3202 | 1650 | 1159 | 386 |
| 2016 | 2854 | 1160 | 2104 | 1539 | 799 | 595 |
| 2017 | 2670 | 699 | 522 | 771 | 698 | 816 |
| 2018 | 3540 | 684 | 350 | 158 | 338 | 852 |
| 2019 | 12318 | 800 | 230 | 149 | 76 | 751 |
| 2020 | 2497 | 1015 | 678 | 258 | 66 | 180 |
| 2021 | 656 | 551 | 1160 | 724 | 168 | 241 |
| 2022 | 3779 | 180 | 217 | 597 | 384 | 297 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1973 | 0.008 | 0.140 | 0.631 | 1.118 | 1.118 | 1.118 |
| 1974 | 0.029 | 0.387 | 0.954 | 1.167 | 1.167 | 1.167 |
| 1975 | 0.055 | 0.648 | 1.359 | 1.573 | 1.573 | 1.573 |
| 1976 | 0.056 | 0.642 | 1.321 | 1.521 | 1.521 | 1.521 |
| 1977 | 0.031 | 0.424 | 1.099 | 1.369 | 1.369 | 1.369 |
| 1978 | 0.052 | 0.558 | 1.059 | 1.192 | 1.192 | 1.192 |
| 1979 | 0.030 | 0.385 | 0.928 | 1.126 | 1.126 | 1.126 |
| 1980 | 0.012 | 0.149 | 0.345 | 0.413 | 0.413 | 0.413 |
| 1981 | 0.009 | 0.138 | 0.542 | 0.849 | 0.849 | 0.849 |
| 1982 | 0.072 | 0.571 | 0.866 | 0.925 | 0.925 | 0.925 |
| 1983 | 0.106 | 0.686 | 0.938 | 0.982 | 0.982 | 0.982 |
| 1984 | 0.063 | 0.709 | 1.411 | 1.609 | 1.609 | 1.609 |
| 1985 | 0.047 | 0.477 | 0.859 | 0.953 | 0.953 | 0.953 |
| 1986 | 0.039 | 0.414 | 0.775 | 0.869 | 0.869 | 0.869 |
| 1987 | 0.063 | 0.708 | 1.410 | 1.608 | 1.608 | 1.608 |
| 1988 | 0.074 | 0.683 | 1.145 | 1.250 | 1.250 | 1.250 |
| 1989 | 0.033 | 0.346 | 0.648 | 0.727 | 0.727 | 0.727 |
| 1990 | 0.059 | 0.568 | 0.984 | 1.082 | 1.082 | 1.082 |
| 1991 | 0.010 | 0.160 | 0.690 | 1.170 | 1.170 | 1.170 |
| 1992 | 0.159 | 0.742 | 0.905 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 |
| 1993 | 0.102 | 0.660 | 0.900 | 0.942 | 0.942 | 0.942 |
| 1994 | 0.008 | 0.145 | 0.765 | 1.635 | 1.635 | 1.635 |
| 1995 | 0.002 | 0.039 | 0.213 | 0.482 | 0.482 | 0.482 |
| 1996 | 0.007 | 0.076 | 0.146 | 0.164 | 0.164 | 0.164 |
| 1997 | 0.004 | 0.049 | 0.109 | 0.129 | 0.129 | 0.129 |
| 1998 | 0.008 | 0.101 | 0.258 | 0.320 | 0.320 | 0.320 |
| 1999 | 0.004 | 0.054 | 0.123 | 0.146 | 0.146 | 0.146 |
| 2000 | 0.006 | 0.072 | 0.146 | 0.167 | 0.167 | 0.167 |
| 2001 | 0.004 | 0.051 | 0.150 | 0.198 | 0.198 | 0.198 |
| 2002 | 0.001 | 0.024 | 0.105 | 0.178 | 0.178 | 0.178 |
| 2003 | 0.003 | 0.049 | 0.192 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 |
| 2004 | 0.002 | 0.036 | 0.246 | 0.871 | 0.871 | 0.871 |
| 2005 | 0.002 | 0.041 | 0.185 | 0.327 | 0.327 | 0.327 |
| 2006 | 0.001 | 0.012 | 0.087 | 0.349 | 0.349 | 0.349 |
| 2007 | 0.001 | 0.014 | 0.063 | 0.114 | 0.114 | 0.114 |
| 2008 | 0.000 | 0.007 | 0.041 | 0.099 | 0.099 | 0.099 |
| 2009 | 0.001 | 0.011 | 0.041 | 0.061 | 0.061 | 0.061 |
| 2010 | 0.001 | 0.012 | 0.037 | 0.050 | 0.050 | 0.050 |
| 2011 | 0.001 | 0.009 | 0.045 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 |
| 2012 | 0.001 | 0.009 | 0.036 | 0.057 | 0.057 | 0.057 |
| 2013 | 0.000 | 0.006 | 0.026 | 0.043 | 0.043 | 0.043 |
| 2014 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.021 | 0.056 | 0.056 | 0.056 |
| 2015 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.018 | 0.056 | 0.056 | 0.056 |
| 2016 | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.009 | 0.024 | 0.024 | 0.024 |
| 2017 | 0.000 | 0.008 | 0.038 | 0.073 | 0.073 | 0.073 |
| 2018 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.020 | 0.053 | 0.053 | 0.053 |
| 2019 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.008 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 |
| 2020 | 0.002 | 0.027 | 0.122 | 0.217 | 0.217 | 0.217 |
| 2021 | 0.000 | 0.008 | 0.038 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 |
| 2022 | 0.001 | 0.008 | 0.017 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.020 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1973 | 0.008 | 0.140 | 0.631 | 1.118 | 1.118 | 1.118 |
| 1974 | 0.029 | 0.387 | 0.954 | 1.167 | 1.167 | 1.167 |
| 1975 | 0.055 | 0.648 | 1.359 | 1.573 | 1.573 | 1.573 |
| 1976 | 0.056 | 0.642 | 1.321 | 1.521 | 1.521 | 1.521 |
| 1977 | 0.031 | 0.424 | 1.099 | 1.369 | 1.369 | 1.369 |
| 1978 | 0.052 | 0.558 | 1.059 | 1.192 | 1.192 | 1.192 |
| 1979 | 0.030 | 0.385 | 0.928 | 1.126 | 1.126 | 1.126 |
| 1980 | 0.012 | 0.149 | 0.345 | 0.413 | 0.413 | 0.413 |
| 1981 | 0.009 | 0.138 | 0.542 | 0.849 | 0.849 | 0.849 |
| 1982 | 0.072 | 0.571 | 0.866 | 0.925 | 0.925 | 0.925 |
| 1983 | 0.106 | 0.686 | 0.938 | 0.982 | 0.982 | 0.982 |
| 1984 | 0.063 | 0.709 | 1.411 | 1.609 | 1.609 | 1.609 |
| 1985 | 0.047 | 0.477 | 0.859 | 0.953 | 0.953 | 0.953 |
| 1986 | 0.039 | 0.414 | 0.775 | 0.869 | 0.869 | 0.869 |
| 1987 | 0.063 | 0.708 | 1.410 | 1.608 | 1.608 | 1.608 |
| 1988 | 0.074 | 0.683 | 1.145 | 1.250 | 1.250 | 1.250 |
| 1989 | 0.033 | 0.346 | 0.648 | 0.727 | 0.727 | 0.727 |
| 1990 | 0.059 | 0.568 | 0.984 | 1.082 | 1.082 | 1.082 |
| 1991 | 0.010 | 0.160 | 0.690 | 1.170 | 1.170 | 1.170 |
| 1992 | 0.159 | 0.742 | 0.905 | 0.930 | 0.930 | 0.930 |
| 1993 | 0.102 | 0.660 | 0.900 | 0.942 | 0.942 | 0.942 |
| 1994 | 0.008 | 0.145 | 0.765 | 1.635 | 1.635 | 1.635 |
| 1995 | 0.002 | 0.039 | 0.213 | 0.482 | 0.482 | 0.482 |
| 1996 | 0.007 | 0.076 | 0.146 | 0.164 | 0.164 | 0.164 |
| 1997 | 0.004 | 0.049 | 0.109 | 0.129 | 0.129 | 0.129 |
| 1998 | 0.008 | 0.101 | 0.258 | 0.320 | 0.320 | 0.320 |
| 1999 | 0.004 | 0.054 | 0.123 | 0.146 | 0.146 | 0.146 |
| 2000 | 0.006 | 0.072 | 0.146 | 0.167 | 0.167 | 0.167 |
| 2001 | 0.004 | 0.051 | 0.150 | 0.198 | 0.198 | 0.198 |
| 2002 | 0.001 | 0.024 | 0.105 | 0.178 | 0.178 | 0.178 |
| 2003 | 0.003 | 0.049 | 0.192 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 |
| 2004 | 0.002 | 0.036 | 0.246 | 0.871 | 0.871 | 0.871 |
| 2005 | 0.002 | 0.041 | 0.185 | 0.327 | 0.327 | 0.327 |
| 2006 | 0.001 | 0.012 | 0.087 | 0.349 | 0.349 | 0.349 |
| 2007 | 0.001 | 0.014 | 0.063 | 0.114 | 0.114 | 0.114 |
| 2008 | 0.000 | 0.007 | 0.041 | 0.099 | 0.099 | 0.099 |
| 2009 | 0.001 | 0.011 | 0.041 | 0.061 | 0.061 | 0.061 |
| 2010 | 0.001 | 0.012 | 0.037 | 0.050 | 0.050 | 0.050 |
| 2011 | 0.001 | 0.009 | 0.045 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 |
| 2012 | 0.001 | 0.009 | 0.036 | 0.057 | 0.057 | 0.057 |
| 2013 | 0.000 | 0.006 | 0.026 | 0.043 | 0.043 | 0.043 |
| 2014 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.021 | 0.056 | 0.056 | 0.056 |
| 2015 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.018 | 0.056 | 0.056 | 0.056 |
| 2016 | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.009 | 0.024 | 0.024 | 0.024 |
| 2017 | 0.000 | 0.008 | 0.038 | 0.073 | 0.073 | 0.073 |
| 2018 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.020 | 0.053 | 0.053 | 0.053 |
| 2019 | 0.000 | 0.003 | 0.008 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 |
| 2020 | 0.002 | 0.027 | 0.122 | 0.217 | 0.217 | 0.217 |
| 2021 | 0.000 | 0.008 | 0.038 | 0.066 | 0.066 | 0.066 |
| 2022 | 0.001 | 0.008 | 0.017 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.020 |